OBSERVATIONS
November 12, 2020



AT LAST, FALL COLOR IS BUSTING OUT IN SMITHFIELD!

At the end of a tough week for the nation, here's an uplifting sight --- in a yard beside Wellons Street last Sunday as the afternoon sun filtered through golden leaves. Too bad this week's rains knocked down many of the town's colorful leaves.




Wingate Lassiter
THE EDITOR'S POINT OF VIEW

A couple of more things that ought
to be addressed regarding elections


As part of the postmortem for our state and national elections, I'd like to advocate a couple of basic changes in how we choose our President and members of Congress from North Carolina.

First of all, the current Electoral College system for choosing a President, though grounded in the worthwhile Constitutional protection of states' rights, appears to be overdue for reform.

The winner-take-all formula that gives all of a state's electoral votes to one candidate --- whether that candidate carries the state by a single vote or a million votes --- on two occasions over the past 20 years has skewed the outcome away from electing a President favored by a majority of the nation's voters. And it came close to happening again this year.

Two of our 50 states have adopted a sensible solution that keeps the Electoral College intact while more accurately reflecting the people's preferences. Maine and Nebraska assign most of their electoral votes according to the outcome in each of its Congressional districts.

If that system had been in place nationwide, it might not have changed the outcomes of elections in 2000 and 2016, when George W. Bush and Donald Trump won the Presidency despite trailing their opponents in the nationwide popular vote. But wouldn't we feel better about it if we had a district-based Electoral College system that comes much closer to making each and every vote count?

Can we not fix our redistricting process?

The other worrisome aspect of our current system, especially here in North Carolina, is the gerrymandering of those Congressional districts in favor of the political party in control of the state's legislature following the decennial U.S. Census. That's going to take place again after the 2020 Census numbers are certified, and once more it's going to be North Carolina's Republican legislators who'll be drawing those maps.

Following the 2010 Census, the state's Congressional districts sent 10 Republicans and only three Democrats to represent us in the U.S. House --- a troublesome result for a "purple state" that produces narrow partisan margins in statewide elections.

Because of successful legal challenges to the initial redistricting map after 2010, North Carolina's Congressional delegation is more evenly split now --- with eight Republicans and five Democrats just elected. In an ideal world, statistically speaking, that split ought to be seven Republicans and six Democrats based on how Tar Heels voted in last week's statewide elections for President and U.S. Senator.

Other states have nonpartisan commissions and other politically neutral mechanisms to come up with district election maps based more on science than politics. Such fairness boosts public confidence in the workings of our democracy, and makes less likely the seemingly endless lawsuits challenging the gerrymanders.


A few more Presidential
election numbers to peruse

Which Presidents, starting with the 1930s, can claim the biggest victories in terms of percentages of votes cast in our national elections?

Franklin Roosevelt? Ronald Reagan?

Yep, those Presidents are two of the top five: FDR won 60.8% of the vote in 1936, Mr. Reagan 58.8% in 1984.

The other three: Lyndon Johnson, the modern-era leader with 61% in 1964, Richard Nixon with 60.7% in 1972, Dwight Eisenhower at 57.4% in 1956 and 55.2% in 1952. (Franklin Roosevelt got 57.4% of votes cast in 1932, but his margin dropped to 54.7% in 1940 and 53.4% in 1944).

No one else has come close to the 60% level --- which is perhaps the measure of a true "landslide" victory in a Presidential election.

The first George Bush won 53.4% in 1988, Barack Obama 52.9% in 2008 and 51.1% in 2012, George W. Bush 50.7% in 2004, Ronald Reagan 50.7% in 1980, and Jimmy Carter 50.1% in 1976. President-Elect Joe Biden has 50.8% of this year's vote so far, with the final tally yet to be determined.

Since the 1930s Presidents six times have won election with less than 50% of the total nationwide vote: Harry S. Truman in 1948, John F. Kennedy in 1960, Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996, George W. Bush in 2000 (he lost the popular vote to Al Gore) and Donald Trump in 2016 (he got 46.1%, less than Hillary Clinton's 48.1%).

A divided country? It's really nothing new. It just feels worse just now because of the increasingly barbarous nature of our national politics.

FOOTNOTE: The percentages cited above are what's posted on Wikipedia>



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